The gateway effect proposes that Smokeless Product use leads to cigarette smoking.
Methodologies to assess gateway must reflect real world usage and have biochemical verification.
While Smokeless Product usage has increased, smoking rates have reduced to an all-time low suggesting the opposite of the gateway effect is occurring.
"We do believe, however, that causal claims about a strong gateway effect from e-cigarettes to smoking are unlikely to hold, while it remains too early to preclude other smaller or opposing effects."
Prof L Shahab
University College London [1]
Today there are several studies and review articles of longitudinal questionnaire-based studies with multiple time points, assessing levels of cigarette and Vapour Product usage at an initial time point with later time point follow-ups, again assessing levels of tobacco product usage. Typically, the questionnaires classify participants as a ‘user’ if they had taken one puff in the past 30 days. If a study participant had indicated they were a Vapour Product user at the initial time point and then indicated they were a smoker at a follow-up time point, the conclusion would be that the Vapour Product had acted as a ‘gateway’ to the participant being a smoker.